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Prediction for CME (2015-06-25T08:36:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2015-06-25T08:36ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/8806/-1 CME Note: From AR12371. Associated with M7.9 flare. CME Shock Arrival Time: 2015-06-27T03:30Z Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: Max Kp: 3.0 Predicted Arrival Time: 2015-06-26T16:00Z (-12.0h, +12.0h) Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 8.0 - 8.0 Prediction Method: Other (SIDC) Prediction Method Note: :Issued: 2015 Jun 25 1051 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/presto #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # FAST WARNING 'PRESTO' MESSAGE from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# A full halo CME was first seen by LASCO C2 at 08:36 UT. This event is associated with the M7.9 flare peaking at 08:16 UT, from NOAA AR 2371. The CME has an Earth directed component and is travelling at 1600 km/s. It is expected to arrive to the Earth on June 26 around 16:00 UT and cause up to severe geomagnetic storms. #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://www.sidc.be. Please do not reply # # directly to this message, but send comments and suggestions to # # 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use that address, use # # 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # # # # Legal notices: # # - Intellectual Property Rights: # # http://www.astro.oma.be/common/internet/en/data-policy-en.pdf # # - Liability Disclaimer: # # http://www.astro.oma.be/common/internet/en/disclaimer-en.pdf # # - Use and processing of your personal information: # # http://www.astro.oma.be/common/internet/en/privacy-policy-en.pdf # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#Lead Time: 40.65 hour(s) Difference: 11.50 hour(s) Prediction submitted by Leila Mays (GSFC) on 2015-06-25T10:51Z |
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